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花旗財(cái)富論壇:花旗預(yù)估今年全球經(jīng)濟(jì)將溫和復(fù)蘇

Citigroup Fortune Forum: Citigroup Forecasts Modest Recovery in Global Economy This Year

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核心提示:2015年首場(chǎng)花旗財(cái)富論壇28日在貴陽(yáng)舉行,海內(nèi)外多家金融機(jī)構(gòu)專家與500余名業(yè)界精英共同展望最新全球經(jīng)濟(jì)趨勢(shì),探討科技新紀(jì)元,分析金融投資策略,并交流在全球背景之下如何達(dá)到財(cái)富的保值和增值。

2015年首場(chǎng)花旗財(cái)富論壇28日在貴陽(yáng)舉行,海內(nèi)外多家金融機(jī)構(gòu)專家與500余名業(yè)界精英共同展望最新全球經(jīng)濟(jì)趨勢(shì),探討科技新紀(jì)元,分析金融投資策略,并交流在全球背景之下如何達(dá)到財(cái)富的保值和增值。

在此前的媒體見面會(huì)上,金融專家表示,2015年全球經(jīng)濟(jì)將溫和復(fù)蘇,美國(guó)、歐洲股市投資值得期待;相對(duì)于其他主要貨幣,人民幣或?qū)⒂诮衲觑@著升值。

對(duì)于2015全球經(jīng)濟(jì)走勢(shì),與會(huì)專家均持“樂(lè)觀”態(tài)度,美國(guó)股市、歐洲股市、中國(guó)股市均有上漲便是利好體現(xiàn)?;ㄆ煦y行(中國(guó))有限公司零售銀行研究與投資分析助理副總裁唐君豪先生認(rèn)為,花旗預(yù)估今年全球經(jīng)濟(jì)將溫和復(fù)蘇,2015年與2016年GDP增速分別達(dá)3.0%和3.4%,較去年的2.7%略為上升。

富達(dá)國(guó)際投資的專家樓中岳表示,失業(yè)率持續(xù)下降、房屋銷售與內(nèi)需消費(fèi)提升,均顯示美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)保持溫和增長(zhǎng),前景樂(lè)觀。美國(guó)企業(yè)不斷強(qiáng)化其資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表,同時(shí)提高股息及回購(gòu)比率,并活躍于并購(gòu)市場(chǎng),亦對(duì)股市升勢(shì)提供支持。

德盛安聯(lián)的專家余子玲認(rèn)為,在歐元貶值及油價(jià)下跌的環(huán)境下,歐元區(qū)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)應(yīng)會(huì)進(jìn)一步靠穩(wěn),隨著增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期下調(diào)的趨勢(shì)結(jié)束,市場(chǎng)有空間帶來(lái)驚喜,可望利好歐洲股市。

談及中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)走勢(shì),唐君豪說(shuō),2014年A股的暴漲已部分反映了改革紅利,2015年潛在的降息將利好房地產(chǎn)、保險(xiǎn)、公用事業(yè)等板塊,長(zhǎng)線則可關(guān)注消費(fèi)、互聯(lián)網(wǎng)、健康醫(yī)療等結(jié)構(gòu)性增長(zhǎng)主體。(中國(guó)進(jìn)出口網(wǎng)


The first Citigroup 2015 Fortune Global Forum was held in Guiyang on March 28, several financial institutions at home and abroad, more than 500 experts and industry gathered, expected the latest trends in the global economy, explored the world of tomorrow, analyzed financial investment strategy and exchanged how to achieve wealth preservation and appreciation under the global context.

In the previous media conference, financial experts said in 2015 there would be a moderate recovery in the global economy, the American and European stock investment was worth to wait; compared with other major currencies, the RMB might appreciate significantly this year.

For the 2015 global economic trends, experts are optimistic, the US stock market, European stock markets, Chinese stocks are all rising. (China) Citigroup Retail Banking Research and Investment Analysis, Assistant Vice President Tang Junhao believed, Citigroup forecast a modest recovery in the global economy this year, 2015 GDP growth reached 3.0% and and 2016 3.4%, compared with last year's 2.7%, the GDP slightly increased.

Fidelity International Investment expert Lou Zhongyue said, the unemployment rate continued to decline, housing sales and domestic consumption enhancement, showed that the US economy grew moderately. US companies continued to strengthen its balance sheet, while increasing the ratio of dividends and repurchases, and active in the M & A market, and supporting the stock market rally.

Allianz Dresdner expert Yu Ziling believed that under the circumstance of the euro depreciation and the oil price drop, the macroeconomic data in euro area should be further steady, with the end of the expected growth cut trend, the market might bring surprise, which was good for the European stock market.

When it came to China's economic trends, Tang Junhao said, 2014 A shares soar partly reflected the reform dividend, the potential rate cut in 2015 would be positive for the real estate, insurance, utilities and other sections, you can focus on consumption, Internet, health care and other structures growth subject in the long run.
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