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花旗財富論壇:花旗預估今年全球經濟將溫和復蘇

Citigroup Fortune Forum: Citigroup Forecasts Modest Recovery in Global Economy This Year

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核心提示:2015年首場花旗財富論壇28日在貴陽舉行,海內外多家金融機構專家與500余名業界精英共同展望最新全球經濟趨勢,探討科技新紀元,分析金融投資策略,并交流在全球背景之下如何達到財富的保值和增值。

2015年首場花旗財富論壇28日在貴陽舉行,海內外多家金融機構專家與500余名業界精英共同展望最新全球經濟趨勢,探討科技新紀元,分析金融投資策略,并交流在全球背景之下如何達到財富的保值和增值。

在此前的媒體見面會上,金融專家表示,2015年全球經濟將溫和復蘇,美國、歐洲股市投資值得期待;相對于其他主要貨幣,人民幣或將于今年顯著升值。

對于2015全球經濟走勢,與會專家均持“樂觀”態度,美國股市、歐洲股市、中國股市均有上漲便是利好體現。花旗銀行(中國)有限公司零售銀行研究與投資分析助理副總裁唐君豪先生認為,花旗預估今年全球經濟將溫和復蘇,2015年與2016年GDP增速分別達3.0%和3.4%,較去年的2.7%略為上升。

富達國際投資的專家樓中岳表示,失業率持續下降、房屋銷售與內需消費提升,均顯示美國經濟保持溫和增長,前景樂觀。美國企業不斷強化其資產負債表,同時提高股息及回購比率,并活躍于并購市場,亦對股市升勢提供支持。

德盛安聯的專家余子玲認為,在歐元貶值及油價下跌的環境下,歐元區宏觀經濟數據應會進一步靠穩,隨著增長預期下調的趨勢結束,市場有空間帶來驚喜,可望利好歐洲股市。

談及中國經濟走勢,唐君豪說,2014年A股的暴漲已部分反映了改革紅利,2015年潛在的降息將利好房地產、保險、公用事業等板塊,長線則可關注消費、互聯網、健康醫療等結構性增長主體。(中國進出口網


The first Citigroup 2015 Fortune Global Forum was held in Guiyang on March 28, several financial institutions at home and abroad, more than 500 experts and industry gathered, expected the latest trends in the global economy, explored the world of tomorrow, analyzed financial investment strategy and exchanged how to achieve wealth preservation and appreciation under the global context.

In the previous media conference, financial experts said in 2015 there would be a moderate recovery in the global economy, the American and European stock investment was worth to wait; compared with other major currencies, the RMB might appreciate significantly this year.

For the 2015 global economic trends, experts are optimistic, the US stock market, European stock markets, Chinese stocks are all rising. (China) Citigroup Retail Banking Research and Investment Analysis, Assistant Vice President Tang Junhao believed, Citigroup forecast a modest recovery in the global economy this year, 2015 GDP growth reached 3.0% and and 2016 3.4%, compared with last year's 2.7%, the GDP slightly increased.

Fidelity International Investment expert Lou Zhongyue said, the unemployment rate continued to decline, housing sales and domestic consumption enhancement, showed that the US economy grew moderately. US companies continued to strengthen its balance sheet, while increasing the ratio of dividends and repurchases, and active in the M & A market, and supporting the stock market rally.

Allianz Dresdner expert Yu Ziling believed that under the circumstance of the euro depreciation and the oil price drop, the macroeconomic data in euro area should be further steady, with the end of the expected growth cut trend, the market might bring surprise, which was good for the European stock market.

When it came to China's economic trends, Tang Junhao said, 2014 A shares soar partly reflected the reform dividend, the potential rate cut in 2015 would be positive for the real estate, insurance, utilities and other sections, you can focus on consumption, Internet, health care and other structures growth subject in the long run.
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